Peter Dutton and David CrisafulliPeter Dutton

Is Peter Dutton’s fate riding on the Queensland state election result?

Federal opposition leader Peter Dutton could have his fate decided on Saturday (26/10/24) if anti-nuclear LNP leader David Crisafulli wins the Queensland state election as the polls are currently predicting.

It is one thing for Peter Dutton to go to next year’s federal election pushing his nuclear power plan and arguing against Labor Premiers.

But if Peter Dutton has to also argue against a LNP Premier David Crisafulli, assuming he wins on Saturday, it becomes very embarrassing to say the least and would likely do a lot of damage to Peter Dutton’s chances of ever becoming Prime Minister.

The embarrassment even showed up in the Queensland election and nuclear power will be a far greater issue at the federal election.

For those who don’t know, in Queensland state politics the Liberal Party and National Party are one party known as the LNP and have been since 2008. But when it comes to federal politics, they are still separate parties in Queensland like the rest of the country.

On the 4th of October 2024 The Guardian reported,

The federal opposition leader, Peter Dutton, has dismissed the Queensland LNP’s rejection of his nuclear power plan as just a “difference of opinion” between friends as he joined the state’s election campaign on Friday.

At their first joint press conference since the controversial plan was announced, Queensland LNP leader David Crisafulli reiterated his defiance of Dutton’s plan for two nuclear plants in Queensland. Crisafulli said he would oppose them if elected at the 26 October poll. (Click here to read more)

At the federal election Peter Dutton won’t be able to dismiss “the Queensland LNP’s rejection of his nuclear power plan as just a “difference of opinion” between friends”.

Peter Dutton will need solid support from Premiers for his nuclear power plan and if he can’t get that from an LNP Premier he won’t be getting it from any Labor Premiers. 

The reality is Peter Dutton’s nuclear power plan is a fake plan being driven by billionaire miner Gina Rinehart as I wrote in June 2024 in an article titled “Peter Dutton colludes with greedy billionaire coal and gas miner Gina Rinehart for the fake “Nuclear policy” scam”. (Click here to read the article)

For the Nuclear policy scam to work it will need a lot more than support from just Gina Rinehart and Rupert Murdoch and at the moment Peter Dutton doesn’t have it and is unlikely to get much more support before the federal election.

Below is a video of this article. (Click here to watch the below video on the Kangaroo Court of Australia YouTube channel)

Abortion has also become an issue for the LNP in the Queensland state election and it has also been raised in federal politics by the coalition side of politics as a potential issue.

On the 23rd of October The Guardian reported:

Pollsters say one word – “abortion” – has entered the minds of Queensland voters as Saturday’s state election draws near.

“It is coming up unprompted in our surveys, people are bringing it up as an issue” one political strategist told Guardian Australia last week.

The opposition leader, David Crisafulli, has repeatedly refused to give a direct answer to questions about his personal position on abortion rights, and whether he would allow his party a conscience vote.

On the 22nd of October the SMH reported:

Coalition senator Jacinta Nampijinpa Price wants abortion on the national agenda, declaring pregnancies ended after the first trimester are immoral and arguing late-stage abortions were akin to infanticide.

As Opposition Leader Peter Dutton sought to dodge the issue while it engulfs Queensland’s state election campaign, former prime minister Tony Abbott backed the right of Coalition members to retain a conscience vote on the matter.

Abortion is legal across all Australian states and territories, but political debate on the issue has been turbocharged by conservative pushes to change the law in Queensland and South Australia. (Click here to read more)

A Queensland government led by LNP Premier David Crisafulli will embarrass Peter Dutton when it comes to his nuclear policy scam and will also likely help put abortion on the national political agenda. Both are bad news for Peter Dutton’s and the coalition’s election chances at the federal election which is due by May 2025.

If Peter Dutton wants to be Prime Minister after the next federal election his chances would be better if Labor won the Queensland state election on Saturday.

So, if you don’t live in Queensland and you are not a fan of Peter Dutton you should be cheering for David Crisafulli and the LNP to win on Saturday. But if you live in Queensland and you are a Labor supporter you are stuck between a rock and a hard place because you don’t want either of them.

For transparency, I live in Queensland and will be voting for a local independent as I normally do.

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Categories: Peter Dutton

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8 replies »

  1. I’d comment one further suggestion.
    Doesn’t matter if LNP win Queensland or not, both current opposition leaders are an embarrassment within themselves…the sad reflection on Australia that we have such low calibre politicians.

  2. Toby Cee, I also believe that we have low calibre voters. Afterall, we’re the ones putting those low calibre politicians into power, election after election, after election. Little changes. Labor is just like Liberals, with a bit of skirting around the edges of problems but conveniently forgetting the issues that people actually want, like an effective NACC, and not supporting a genocide. We need to wake up and start voting in our own best interests even if that means leaving our comfort zone and voting differently than we ever have. We need to be honest with ourselves.

  3. Your faith in what Crisafulli has said in relation to nuclear power is, I think, entirely misplaced. It won’t be the first time an LNP politician has said one thing to get elected and then acted in complete conflict with the pre-election statements (and the interests of the majority of their supporters) once they get their hands on the levers of power.

  4. Once elected, David Crisafulli will rollover and and align behind Dutton. Honesty and integrity are anathema to the Lying Nasty Party who specialize in getting elected on greed, fear and racism and then do whatever is necessary to promote big business and the Fossil Fuel lobby. Australian electors are as dumb as rocks and fall for it again and again.

  5. There is a third possible outcome in the Federal vs Queensland alleged disagreement. Dutton could simply decide not to offer any nuclear plants to Qld. As is well established, that would leave Qld facing power shortages as coal powered stations are mothballed and expensive renewables fail to meet base load requirements. Many parts of the world continue to build coal-fired stations to provide low-cost reliable power. My view, Crisafulli would sooner sell our coal to India and China and leave the final decision on nuclear stations in the too hard tray for now.

  6. Voters around the world have set a trend of rejecting the sitting government, or at least rejecting the major parties. For example the EU and UK. Current trends in Australia appear to be following this trend. It appears that you can fool some of the people some of the time…

  7. Thanks, KCA. As I see it, for Queenslanders, the choice is clear: between a state leader who won’t take a clear stand on fundamental rights like abortion and a federal leader who is in bed with mining billionaires while pushing a nuclear scam.

    The real losers in this election?

    The Australian public, left to witness yet another round of strategic blunders, ideological infighting, and political posturing from a party that seems more concerned with protecting its own interests than those of the voters.

    Peter Dutton’s leadership is already teetering on the edge of irrelevance, and a Crisafulli victory in Queensland might just be the final shove that sends him over. The opposition is fractured, their policies are hypocritical, and their chances of winning the next federal election are shrinking faster than Dutton’s credibility.

  8. Peter dutton and littleproud are both elected as lnp qld, not liberal or national. Lnpqld is a separate party to the liberals and nationals. This is confirmed by aph records.

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